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Meb Faber Trinity Portfolio

Meb Faber

In brief

A 50/50 blend of a diversified global asset allocation and a monthly trend-following sleeve.

Profile sources: Meb Faber Research

Published
Last reviewed

At a glance

11 asset sleeves

Evaluate the trend rules monthly; maintain the strategic half at its target weights.

Growth assets

20%

Bonds & reserves

25%

Other diversifiers

55%

Target allocation

What the portfolio holds

U.S. stocks — strategic half

VTI

9%

Developed stocks — strategic half

VEA

6.75%

Emerging stocks — strategic half

VWO

2.25%

Corporate bonds — strategic half

LQD

9.9%

Long U.S. Treasuries — strategic half

TLT

6.75%

International bonds — strategic half

BNDX

7.2%

TIPS — strategic half

SCHP

0.9%

Commodities — strategic half

PDBC

2.5%

Gold — strategic half

IAU

2.5%

REITs — strategic half

VNQ

2.25%

Rules-based global trend sleeve

50%

Tickers are liquid U.S.-listed examples, not recommendations or exact historical fund selections.

Allocation sources: Meb Faber Research

Decision context

Potential advantages and trade-offs

These observations follow from the displayed allocation and implementation. They are not a recommendation or a prediction of future performance.

Potential advantages

  • Spreads its target allocation across 11 distinct sleeves rather than relying on a single holding.
  • Combines growth assets with bonds or reserves instead of depending on one broad asset class.
  • Includes non-U.S. exposure, reducing exclusive dependence on one national market.
  • Includes a diversifying sleeve outside conventional broad stocks and nominal bonds.

Important trade-offs

  • The largest sleeve is 50% of the portfolio, so its behavior can dominate the result.
  • 11 sleeves increase implementation, monitoring, and rebalancing complexity.
  • Long-duration Treasury exposure can be highly sensitive to changes in long-term interest rates.
  • Alternative sleeves can behave differently from familiar stock-and-bond benchmarks and may add fund cost or tracking differences.

Portfolio Visualizer

Compare historical performance

Compare this documented rules-based ETF proxy beside two familiar U.S. equity benchmarks. The comparison starts with $10,000 and uses monthly total-return data.

Read strategy paper ↗

Growth of $10,000

Monthly total returns · maximum available history

PortfolioSPYQQQ
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10-asset universe

Portfolio 1

Meb Faber Trinity Portfolio

Target allocation from this profile

100%

Portfolio 2

S&P 500

SPY benchmark

100%

Portfolio 3

Nasdaq-100

QQQ benchmark

This local rules-based chart is an ETF-proxy interpretation of the cited paper, not a reproduction of proprietary indexes. Results begin after the required lookback and latest common fund inception.

Implementation note

The local chart is a transparent ETF-proxy implementation of the white paper: it ranks the ten assets by trailing 12-month momentum, selects the top half, keeps each selected asset only when above its 10-month moving average, and sends failed slots to Treasury bills. It does not reproduce Cambria's proprietary indexes, execution, fees, or taxes.

Sources and context

Target allocations are educational examples, not personalized advice. Fund availability, taxes, trading costs, account type, time horizon, and capacity for loss can all change the appropriate implementation. Historical diversification does not guarantee future results.

Sources document the strategy, underlying methodology, or the representative funds used here. ETF tickers are illustrative U.S.-listed implementations and may differ from an originator’s original funds or current model.