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LeveragedVery high risk

Hedgefundie's Excellent Adventure

Hedgefundie

In brief

A 3× leveraged stock-and-Treasury strategy designed around two volatile, diversifying sleeves.

Profile sources: Bogleheads Forum

Published
Last reviewed

At a glance

2 asset sleeves

Rebalance quarterly.

Growth assets

55%

Bonds & reserves

45%

Other diversifiers

0%

Target allocation

What the portfolio holds

3× S&P 500

UPRO

55%

3× long-term Treasuries

TMF

45%

Tickers are liquid U.S.-listed examples, not recommendations or exact historical fund selections.

Allocation sources: Bogleheads Forum

Decision context

Potential advantages and trade-offs

These observations follow from the displayed allocation and implementation. They are not a recommendation or a prediction of future performance.

Potential advantages

  • Uses only 2 sleeves, which makes the displayed target allocation straightforward to understand and maintain.
  • Combines growth assets with bonds or reserves instead of depending on one broad asset class.
  • Uses capital-efficient exposure that can combine more market sensitivity than an unleveraged dollar allocation.
  • Publishes explicit target weights, making drift and rebalancing decisions measurable.

Important trade-offs

  • Very high risk means losses and drawdowns can be substantial even when the long-term thesis remains unchanged.
  • The largest sleeve is 55% of the portfolio, so its behavior can dominate the result.
  • The displayed equity allocation has no dedicated international sleeve and is exposed to U.S.-market concentration.
  • Long-duration Treasury exposure can be highly sensitive to changes in long-term interest rates.

Portfolio Visualizer

Compare historical performance

Backtest this allocation beside two familiar U.S. equity benchmarks. The comparison starts with $10,000, reinvests dividends, and rebalances annually.

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Growth of $10,000

Monthly total returns · maximum available history

PortfolioSPYQQQ
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2 holdings

Portfolio 1

Hedgefundie's Excellent Adventure

Target allocation from this profile

100%

Portfolio 2

S&P 500

SPY benchmark

100%

Portfolio 3

Nasdaq-100

QQQ benchmark

Portfolio Visualizer opens in a new tab because its site does not support embedded frames. Results begin at the latest common inception date for the selected funds.

Advanced strategy warning

Advanced strategy. Daily-reset leverage, financing costs, volatility decay, and large losses make it unsuitable for beginners.

Sources and context

Target allocations are educational examples, not personalized advice. Fund availability, taxes, trading costs, account type, time horizon, and capacity for loss can all change the appropriate implementation. Historical diversification does not guarantee future results.

Sources document the strategy, underlying methodology, or the representative funds used here. ETF tickers are illustrative U.S.-listed implementations and may differ from an originator’s original funds or current model.